Self-improving reasoning layer (six-lens doctrine + scored reasoning loops)

The question

The research methodology itself — the pre-registration rigor protocol applied to every hypothesis below.

How it was tested

This is a live observability instrument rather than a pre-registered forward-edge hypothesis: it measures and reports a market condition for operator decision-support. It never auto-trades. Where a forward-edge claim exists, it is pre-registered separately and appears in the log with its own hash.

The outcome

FOUNDATIONAL MILESTONE (2026-06-25). Two stacked builds. (1) THE SIX-LENS DOCTRINE — one house analytical standard (variant-perception / second-derivative / why-it-persists / catalyst+clock / clean-expression / falsify-first + mechanism-before-data, no-hindsight, capacity, crowding, default-skeptical), single source `lib/intelligence/analytical-doctrine.ts`, injected into the Alpha Scout + the fund-digest PM read + the chadman chat persona. (2) THE REASONING-LOOP LAYER — every six-lens reasoning output becomes a falsifiable, timestamped, point-in-time prediction that is SCORED vs realized outcome and whose score CHANGES a behavior (score the analyst, not just the signal). 4 loops registered in the loop-closure-monitor: reasoning_pm_read (PM-read directional forecasts, LIVE accruing), reasoning_pm_recs (recommendation shadow-P&L, LIVE), reasoning_chat_proactive (state-change six-lens reads, SHADOW), reasoning_scout_triage (internal-anomaly self-sourcing → research queue, DORMANT, OPEN_BY_DESIGN). DISCIPLINE (load-bearing): raises the REASONING bar, NEVER relaxes the discipline gate — observability/decision-support only, never auto-trades; a sharp hypothesis stays a DRAFT until pre-reg + backfill (Rule #10); the LOCK / go-live / intel→trade / doctrine-mutation stay HUMAN. Plan + phasing: project_reasoning_loop_closure_plan_2026_06_25.md; doctrine: feedback_six_lens_doctrine.md. Phase 5 (the cross-surface reasoning earned-edge — which lens/surface earns) is QUEUED to build once the loops accrue matured track records.

The research framework itself — the rigor protocol applied to every hypothesis.